Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 14.458407 16.484220 18.651017 21.136347 23.903376 26.884471 30.334176
2024-10-27 11.054166 13.688680 16.705911 20.399350 24.779644 29.788900 35.929956
2024-11-03 9.423395 12.569259 16.397865 21.358247 27.568129 35.035089 44.636969
2024-11-10 8.565787 12.220754 16.918010 23.316163 31.710845 42.246986 56.352116
2024-11-17 7.549907 11.492662 16.829978 24.449863 34.891335 48.519552 67.439107
2024-11-24 6.381796 10.360919 16.030051 24.501240 36.601722 52.990215 76.527255
2024-12-01 5.267189 9.118702 14.890186 23.905747 37.308189 56.108374 83.983879
2024-12-08 4.493294 8.264347 14.187893 23.826973 38.685825 60.197180 93.011401
2024-12-15 3.949888 7.687976 13.821761 24.183278 40.688761 65.268913 103.722097
2024-12-22 3.396201 7.000223 13.178833 24.010333 41.829010 69.103596 112.822211
2024-12-29 3.159485 6.837640 13.380652 25.211303 45.198190 76.487576 127.643448
2025-01-05 2.813213 6.411990 13.068030 25.497836 47.082426 81.662047 139.349021
2025-01-12 2.356094 5.704465 12.182352 24.733847 47.218422 84.184824 147.255107
2025-01-19 1.950201 5.025764 11.256037 23.786041 46.941293 86.000162 154.130952
2025-01-26 1.812308 4.902625 11.388700 24.809000 50.199084 93.859739 171.282797
2025-02-02 1.796601 5.054968 12.091506 26.984317 55.689307 105.803509 195.825270
2025-02-09 1.692742 4.980764 12.313942 28.234065 59.561893 115.180965 216.524869
2025-02-16 1.500145 4.652191 11.950937 28.267846 61.147889 120.648784 230.829496
2025-02-23 1.281013 4.209564 11.274528 27.577688 61.277134 123.514613 240.750069
2025-03-02 1.130523 3.918371 10.899809 27.477781 62.534798 128.461294 254.537342
2025-03-09 1.028043 3.739976 10.763670 27.873511 64.793172 135.337982 272.046867
2025-03-16 0.905410 3.474955 10.379730 27.673041 65.809804 139.936167 285.633476
2025-03-23 0.871749 3.477304 10.665714 29.027089 70.145109 151.029408 311.588947